: do not give in to evil but proceed ever more boldly against it :

The misleading, but effective, meme you’ll be hearing for the next 5 months

In visual form (see the graphic below).

Politics is interesting, if for nothing else than the sinister way politicians imply that (1) some politicians are responsible for all bad in the world and (2) some politicians are responsible for all good in the world and (3) all politicians believe they’re in the second category while their political adversaries are in the first.

Most politicians are incompetent. They’re experts in (a) making outrageous promises that are incompatible with economic law and human nature in exchange for votes, (b) ingratiating themselves with special interests and (c) pressing the flesh at cocktail parties in order to carry out (a) and (b).

Oh yeah, and they’re good at voting themselves pay increases.

The skills you need to get elected are primarily a combination of charisma and the ability to look someone in the eye and tell them a falsehood. The skills to you need to run an organization are integrity and the ability to look someone in the eye and tell them the truth.

As to the graph below, long-tern inflation is a monetary phenomenon. Short-term inflation is a fixed-supply/rising-demand phenomenon that is usually short lived and usually remedies itself.

I have a belief that we’re in a commodity bubble (in the short term, but a rising trend in the long term). The price of crude oil will likely plummet at some point in the next 8 months. By more than half.

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